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globzette.com > Blog > Europe > Dozens Survive Plane Crash in Kazakhstan, 38 Confirmed Dead
Europe

Dozens Survive Plane Crash in Kazakhstan, 38 Confirmed Dead

Ethan Collins
Last updated: January 29, 2026 9:50 am
Ethan Collins
Published: December 29, 2024
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Dozens of people have survived a devastating plane crash in Kazakhstan, which killed 38 passengers on board, according to local authorities. The flight, operated by Azerbaijan Airlines, was en route to Grozny in Russia but was forced to make an emergency landing near the Kazakh city of Aktau due to adverse weather conditions, including thick fog. The incident has sparked an ongoing investigation by both Kazakh and Azerbaijani officials as they work to determine the cause of the crash.

Contents
  • What Happened at the Crash Site?
  • Could the Plane Have Collided with Birds?
  • Could Russian Air Defense Have Been Involved?
  • Who Were the Passengers on Board?
  • What Were the Survivors' Struggles and What Is the Status of the Investigation?
  • What Is Embraer’s Role in the Investigation?
  • What Lies Ahead for the Investigation and the Families of the Victims?

What Happened at the Crash Site?

The plane, flight J2-8243, caught fire as it attempted an emergency landing. Footage from the scene shows the aircraft hurtling toward the ground at high speed, with its landing gear down. Moments before touching the ground, the plane burst into flames. Authorities confirmed that the aircraft made its emergency landing about 3 kilometers (1.9 miles) from Aktau, though the exact cause of the crash remains unclear.

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The flight had taken off from Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, at 03:55 GMT on Wednesday and crashed around 06:28, according to data from flight-tracking service Flightradar24.

Could the Plane Have Collided with Birds?

Early reports from Russian media suggested that the plane may have collided with a flock of birds shortly before the crash. However, these reports remain unverified. Azerbaijani officials have stated that “all possible scenarios” are being considered. Azerbaijan’s prosecutor general emphasized that the investigation is still in its early stages.

“We are examining all possible scenarios,” said an official statement from the Azerbaijani prosecutor general’s office.

Could Russian Air Defense Have Been Involved?

Some air defense experts have speculated that the damage to the aircraft might indicate that it was struck by a missile. An expert from the risk advisory company Sibylline stated, “It looks very much like the detonation of an air defense missile to the rear and to the left of the aircraft, if you look at the pattern of shrapnel that we see.”

Although this remains a theory, it has raised concerns about the potential involvement of Russian air defense systems in the region. Grozny, the capital of Chechnya, is located in a sensitive area where Russian air defense activity is known to be present.

Who Were the Passengers on Board?

The plane was carrying 67 people, including passengers from Azerbaijan, Russia, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan. The majority of the passengers were Azerbaijani nationals. Among those who tragically lost their lives was a woman traveling to spend the holidays with her children in Chechnya, where Grozny is the capital.

One mother, who was traveling with medical tests for her sick child, is still missing, and her fate remains unknown. A young woman, who was anxiously awaiting news of her father, shared her emotional story. Her father was on the flight, and though his son managed to survive the crash and contact his sister, there was still no news about their father’s condition.

“Please, help me find out what happened to my father,” the woman said tearfully.

What Were the Survivors' Struggles and What Is the Status of the Investigation?

Unverified footage from the crash site shows survivors crawling out of the wreckage, some of them visibly injured. While many passengers were able to escape the wreckage, the tragedy has left a deep emotional impact on their families and loved ones. Both Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan have launched thorough investigations into the incident to uncover the exact cause.

“We are ready to assist all relevant authorities,” said a spokesperson from Embraer, the Brazilian aircraft manufacturer, which produced the plane involved in the crash.

Azerbaijan Airlines, the airline operating the flight, has announced that flights between Baku and the Russian cities of Grozny and Makhachkala will be canceled pending further investigation.

What Is Embraer’s Role in the Investigation?

Embraer, a leading Brazilian aircraft manufacturer known for producing smaller jets, has a strong safety record. The company has pledged to cooperate fully with the investigation.

Azerbaijan Airlines has not yet issued additional comments on the incident. The airline’s decision to cancel flights between Baku and the Russian cities involved highlights the severity of the incident, and their focus on ensuring safety during the investigation.

What Lies Ahead for the Investigation and the Families of the Victims?

As authorities in both Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan work to uncover the cause of the crash, it is clear that the survivors of the tragedy, along with their families, are still reeling from the trauma. The investigation will likely take weeks or even months to reach a conclusion, and for the families of the victims, there are still many unanswered questions. The situation remains fluid, with both Azerbaijani and Kazakh officials working tirelessly to provide clarity in the aftermath of this heartbreaking event.

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ByEthan Collins
Ethan Collins is a Europe affairs analyst and journalist recognized for his sharp insight into the continent’s political, economic, and cultural transformations. His work spans EU policymaking, digital innovation, energy transitions, migration trends, and transatlantic relations—exploring how Europe adapts to a rapidly changing global landscape. At globzette.com, Ethan delivers in-depth reports, exclusive interviews, and strategic commentary on Europe’s evolving dynamics—from the future of the Eurozone and regional elections to technology regulation and green growth. Valued for his clarity and balanced perspective, he connects complex regional developments to their global impact, helping readers understand not just where Europe stands but where it’s heading.
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