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globzette.com > Blog > US Elections > Candidates’ Proposals Risk Doubling U.S. National Debt, Non-Partisan Analysis Reveals
US Elections

Candidates’ Proposals Risk Doubling U.S. National Debt, Non-Partisan Analysis Reveals

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Last updated: October 8, 2024 10:16 am
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Published: October 8, 2024
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What Are the Debt Projections for Each Candidate?

According to a recent Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget study, Donald Trump’s campaign ideas would almost double the effect on the U.S. national debt compared to Kamala Harris’s suggestions. Trump is expected to add over $7.5 trillion to the national debt; Harris’s proposals would add roughly $3.5 trillion.

Contents
What Are the Debt Projections for Each Candidate?What Warnings Have Analysts Given About the National Debt?How Do the Candidates Propose to Impact Tax Cuts?What Tax Proposals Has Trump Put Forward?What Strategies Has Harris Proposed for Taxation?What Challenges Might the Candidates Face in Congress?Why Are Analysts Concerned About Investor Awareness?What Does the Future Hold for U.S. Borrowing?What Is the Current Debt-to-GDP Ratio?

What Warnings Have Analysts Given About the National Debt?

The think tank cautioned that neither political party seems inclined to face the astounding $35.6 trillion national debt that exists right now. An industry expert remarked, “You know, tax cuts sound better than higher taxes; both candidates are wanting to be elected, thus I think that’s what you’re hearing.” “Whether or not all of that gets through will be evident.”

How Do the Candidates Propose to Impact Tax Cuts?

Both contenders have supported keeping the tax cuts passed during Trump’s first term in place. These cuts represent a considerable amount of the expected extra debt. Trump’s plan’s tax clauses expire in 2025, creating a divisive tax argument for whoever lands the White House in November. Trump promised to provide the tax deal as a whole.

What Tax Proposals Has Trump Put Forward?

Besides extending current tax cuts, Trump has suggested fresh policies like the abolition of taxes on tips income, Social Security, and overtime. He has also recommended domestic producers pay an ultra-low corporation tax rate of 15%. By levying broad tariffs on imported goods, Trump seeks to offset these expenses—a tactic he says might bring about around $2.7 trillion.

What Strategies Has Harris Proposed for Taxation?

On the other hand, Kamala Harris has promised to hike the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28% and overturn tax cuts for the rich. Meanwhile, she has backed the abolition of taxes on tips and intends to keep Trump’s tax cuts for anyone making less than $400,000. Harris has also suggested many other tax breaks for start-ups and families with children. She also supports major expenditures in healthcare and nurseries, which would call for hundreds of billions of fresh spending.

What Challenges Might the Candidates Face in Congress?

Many of both candidates’ ideas would call for Congress’s approval. Particularly considering the divided legislative body that finally controls taxation and expenditure, the viability and effectiveness of these proposals still need to be discovered.

Why Are Analysts Concerned About Investor Awareness?

An industry expert underlined that investors could not appreciate the possible hazards of increasing national borrowing enough. “I felt investors were not giving the threat from spiralling debt enough thought,” they said.

What Does the Future Hold for U.S. Borrowing?

Strong demand for its debt among private investors has historically allowed the United States to borrow at low rates, helping to sustain relatively low interest rates. Analysts are now, however, voicing worries about the prospect of future more expensive borrowing

What Is the Current Debt-to-GDP Ratio?

With a ratio of about 120% of U.S. debt to gross domestic product (GDP), the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reports that this ratio among significant economies worldwide is already among the highest. This ratio is higher than other countries, including Italy at 144%, Spain at 110%, the United Kingdom at 101%, Canada at 106%, China at 77%, Germany at 67%, and Australia at 56%.

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